Psychoeconomics: globalization, markets, crisis. Николай Игнатьевич Конюхов

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СКАЧАТЬ The elite of various countries close ranks by introducing uniform rules of the game. And whoever does not subscribe to the accepted values is more or less thrown out of this environment.

      So, for the elites, the economically active population of the earth, a single psychotype, a single culture, singular values begin to form on the basis of unified psychoeconomic processes… The process of creating a unified elite of the world will be completed by the formation of a uniform ideology.

      One effect that appears with astonishing regularity is that the leading economies of the world themselves begin to be occupied with promoting their culture to other countries once the postresonators, the elite of the second generation, that is, the social motivators, come into power. The resonators, the elite of the first generation, are all wrapped up in work, they have no time for external self-praising contacts, for distribution of their culture, the culture of labor, or of their experience among different peoples. But here the elite of the second, and particularly the third generation have a stake in this. The requirements of maniacal, hysteroid personalities correspond to this. Furthermore, this appears as a unique defensive reaction for the elites, who begin to understand that they are losing the global leadership.

      Therefore the creation of different organizations that are occupied with promoting the culture of the leading country of the world among other nations, regularly begins with the coming to power of the second-generation elite, but attains the effect of producing negative emotions from such enlightenment in other nations when the post-postresonators, the elites of the third generation, come into power.

      Before the time of globalization of the economy, the place of the leading world government was taken by another government. But what will happen in the globalization period with a government that did not bear the burden of world leader?

      Here several tendencies or possibilities overlap.

      The first tendency. In the leading country of the world, the elite of the second generation and then the third generation come to replace the first-generation elite. The loss of power by the resonators, the emotionalization of the economically active population, leads sooner or later to the loss of this country’s leading position in the world. The elite of the peripheral countries that surround this country-leader will begin to form around the culture of the elite of that country that grabs the leadership. In the final analysis, reason and the resonators may prevail.

      The second tendency. In a period of globalization, at the point when the third-generation elite, the post-postresonators, come into power, the processes in the leading country of the world, from technological innovations to the culture at large, will shift to peripheral countries. Hence, there is increasing stratification of the population, an increased role and significance of the objects of material prestige, emotionalization of social processes, etc. That is, the culture of the leading country of the world begins to form not only among the elites, but for everyone, as this culture does not correspond to the interests of the rapid, progressive development that is stratifying the society. In the entire world population, especially that population with an external reference, traits of the post-postresonators will increase among the extroverts. Introverts, schizoids, countries with marked introverted cultures such as India, China, Japan, and Russia, will be inoculated against such culturological changes.

      Therefore it is not impossible to divide the world’s countries into those that hold on to the culture and values of the US and those that are oriented to the values and culture of China and similar countries. That is, countries or nations choose in favor of an extroverted or an introverted culture.

      In any case, a new system of contradictions becomes intensified: between the elite and the people of their country (when accepting the culture of the leading country, the US) or between different countries (when they accept the culture of a new, rapidly developing world economic center). Of course, these are processes that affect decades, the understanding of which causes protest and defensive reactions in people who think in smaller slices of time.

      But if we think in decades, then the probable socio-political conclusions that derive from the acknowledging the tendencies described are unavoidable.

      The quality of the population in the US and in the majority of European countries is becoming increasingly worse through successive peaks of solar activity. This thesis became more evident after the issuance of Thilo Sarrazin’s book Germany Is Doing Away With Itself.

      If by the time of a definitive decline in the quality of the population it has been possible to create an effective economy that manufactures nutrition products and articles of daily necessity, the population of the prosperous countries of the West will be divided into two social aggregates. Some produce and thus have higher standards of consumption, while others just consume. But since they consume dependently, then they will be forced to comply with lower standards of consumption. With each passing year, those who consume will be penetrated by a dependent psychology. Their strength of character will fall, expectations of what the powers-that-be should do for them will grow. Classical democracy (the power of the majority) in this case leads this sort of country to decay, or else one way or another power will transfer not to the strong, but to the weak; not to the producers, but to the consumers …

      Such a division is also possible by country or groups of countries. There will be some countries that are capable of effective production, and there will be others whose capacity is weakened. Incidentally, this division is already evident on the map of contemporary Europe.

      Social conflicts will grow. Under pressure of the expectation of the majority, no power, whether on the right or left, will be able to reform the national economy. The power structure will totally cease to meet the objective need for firm control of the country given the updated demand for orientation toward the obtainment of distant goals (involving several periods of presidential rule) to avoid the catastrophic consequences of the development of socio-economic processes. This is the sociopsychological and political basis for a possible contraction in the domain of the development of democracy and the transition to another structure of state management, to other regimes.

      Periodical uprisings, insurgencies and even forcible provisional seizure of power may become permanent in some European countries, as they now appear to be in some African countries. However, each successive power will not be able to fulfill the obligations taken on, and will be swept away by the subsequent outrage of frustrated citizens. In such a situation objectively a significant portion of the population will be more interested not in democracy and the freedom of the individual, but in order. There are generally more than enough people who agree to undertake such unconstitutional functions. The law enforcement agencies can also undertake these functions. Management according to the example of Pinochet in Chile may seem in new conditions acceptable for the majority.

      The availability of the example of successful social development in China sharply strengthens the position of the movements and parties on the left.

      The elite of all countries will be found under the influence of cyclically repeating psychoeconomic and social-psychological changes. What has been described belongs to the more unwelcome combination of a type of elite and the economically active population.

      But while this has not yet happened (and this may not happen with appropriate preemptive decisions), the psychoeconomic changes in the US that were characteristic for various stages of development of that country, under globalization will now appear in many countries of the world.

      Currently there are significant differences in the rates and phases of psychoeconomic changes in the developed countries and the BRICS countries. And for now the psychoeconomic changes in the US and China are in relative antiphase. Nevertheless, the general tendency of globalization is related to synchronization of psychotypological and psychoeconomic changes in the world. In any case, change in the opinion of participants in the market when buying stock or material and non-material assets is becoming synchronized. The change of the psychotypes of the economically active СКАЧАТЬ