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There are a number of ways to analyse contemporary urban warfare. It would be possible to examine a single major urban battle and extrapolate the main features of urban warfare from that one event. Or, it would be possible to analyse and compare several urban battles. This book employs a different method. I do not tell the history of one battle, like Mosul, or several battles comparatively. Rather, I examine a suite of contemporary examples in order to identify the general anatomy of urban warfare today. Consequently, the book proceeds thematically, dissecting the urban battle to explore each of its constitutive elements in turn. I begin with an analysis of the rise of urban warfare, arguing for the importance of numbers to both interstate and insurgent urban warfare. We will then look at how reduced military forces have been compelled to change the way they fight in cities, as they are increasingly committed to localised micro-sieges. I will show how fortification, airpower, firepower, armour, partnering with local forces and information operations have become vital in these battles, reconfiguring their topographies. Each of these themes will be discussed in turn to provide a comprehensive picture of the urban battle of the twenty-first century. The book concludes with a discussion of the likely future of urban warfare over the next two decades. It considers how the micro-siege that we have seen since the early years of this century might develop in the next two decades. Will we be fighting in megacities in the 2020s and 2030s? Will robots take over? Or will cities be destroyed by mass conventional or nuclear strikes?
Notes
1 1. James Verini, They Will Have to Die Now: Mosul and the Fall of the Caliphate (London: Oneworld 2019), 16.
2 2. General Stephen Townsend, Multidomain Battle in Megacities Conference, Fort Hamilton, New York, 3 April 2018: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ARz0l_evGAE.
3 3. Colonel Pat Work, US Army, MWI Podcast: ‘The battle for Mosul’, 14 February 2018: https://mwi.usma.edu/mwi-podcast-battle-mosul-col-pat-work/.
4 4. Gareth Brereton, I Am Ashurbanipal: King of the World, King of Assyria (London: Thames and Hudson, 2019), 281.
5 5. Townsend, Multidomain Battle in Megacities Conference.
6 6. Townsend, Multidomain Battle in Megacities Conference.
7 7. Robert Postings, ‘An analysis of the Islamic State’s SVBIED use in Raqqa’, International Review 11 May 2018: https://international-review.org/an-analysis-of-islamic-states-svbied-use-in-raqqa/; ‘A guide to the Islamic State’s way of urban warfare’, Modern War Institute, 7 September 2018: https://mwi.usma.edu/guide-islamic-states-way-urban-warfare/.
8 8. Postings, ‘An analysis of the Islamic State’s SVBIED use in Raqqa’.
9 9. Townsend, Multidomain Battle in Megacities Conference.
10 10. Townsend, Multidomain Battle in Megacities Conference.
11 11. Stephen Graham, Cities under Siege: The New Military Urbanism (London: Verso, 2010), 16.
12 12. Timothy Thomas, ‘The 31 December 1994 – 8 February 1995 battle for Grozny’, in William Robertson (ed.), Block by Block: The Challenges of Urban Operations (Ft Leavenworth, KS: US ACGS College Press, 2003), 170–1.
13 13. Major-General Rupert Jones, OF-7, British Army, Deputy Commander, Operation Inherent Resolve, personal interview, 3 August 2018.
14 14. Amos Harel and Avi Issacharoff, 34 Days: Israel, Hezbollah and the War in Lebanon (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 2008), 191.
15 15. Raphael Marcus, ‘Learning “under fire”: Israel’s improvised military adaptation to Hamas tunnel warfare’, Journal of Strategic Studies 42(3–4) 2019, 357.
16 16. Paul Quinn-Judge, ‘Ukraine’s meat grinder is back in business’, Foreign Policy, 12 April 2016.
17 17. Virgil, The Aeneid, trans. David West (London: Penguin 2003), 37.
18 18. The Bible, Joshua 6:21.
19 19. Wayne Lee, Waging War: Conflict, Culture and Innovation in World History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2016), 15.
20 20. Edward Soja, Postmetropolis (Oxford: Blackwell, 2000), 32.
21 21. Lee, Waging War, 16.
22 22. Soja, Postmetropolis, 64.
23 23. Brereton, I Am Ashurbanipal, 109.
24 24. Richard Norton, ‘Feral cities’, Naval War College Review 56(4) 2003, 1.
25 25. Kevin M. Felix and Frederick D. Wong, ‘The case for megacities’, Parameters 45(1) 2015, 19–32.
26 26. John Spencer ‘The city is not neutral: why urban warfare is so hard’, Modern War Institute, 4 March 2020: https://mwi.usma.edu/city-not-neutral-urban-warfare-hard/.
27 27. David Betz and Hugh Stanford-Tuck, ‘The city is neutral’, Texas National Security Review 2(4) 2019, 60–87.
28 28. Alice Hills, Future Wars in Cities: Rethinking a Liberal Dilemma (London: Frank Cass, 2004), 153.
29 29. I take the word battlescape from Arjan Appadurai, Modernity at Large (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1996).
30 30. The word ‘siege’ is derived from the Latin word sedicum, meaning a seat. Sieger in French means to sit.
2 Numbers
Defining Urban Warfare
Everyone knows an urban battle when they see one. It only takes a moment to look at footage of Mosul, Aleppo or Donetsk to know that these were urban battles. Yet, despite its apparent obviousness, urban warfare is difficult to define precisely. In particular, as the human population thins and disperses, it often becomes hard to identify exactly what constitutes a town or city and, therefore, when field campaigns become urban operations. Yet, although there is no absolute divide, it is necessary to have some at least pragmatic classification. In a celebrated essay, the twentieth-century sociologist, Louis Wirth, defined the city according to three characteristics; size, density and heterogeneity.1 Cities consist of large, dense and heterogeneous populations. Urban warfare occurs, therefore, in large, dense and diverse human settlements.
It is, in fact, possible to be more precise about how large and how dense a settlement needs to be before it is defined as urban. Traditionally, a city has been defined as a population of 100,000 or more. Below 100,000, and a settlement has been defined as a town. This number seems beyond dispute. The problem of definition arises at the lower end of the scale. How small does a town need to be before it is no longer urban at all? When does it become a village? With СКАЧАТЬ