Statistics for HCI. Alan Dix
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Название: Statistics for HCI

Автор: Alan Dix

Издательство: Ingram

Жанр: Программы

Серия: Synthesis Lectures on Human-Centered Informatics

isbn: 9781681738239

isbn:

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       10.1 If there is something there, make sure you find it

       10.2 The noise–effect–number triangle

       10.2.1 General strategies

       10.3 Subjects

       10.3.1 More subjects or trials (increase number)

       10.3.2 Within-subjects/within-groups studies (reduce noise)

       10.3.3 Matched users (reduce noise)

       10.3.4 Targeted user group (increase effect)

       10.4 Tasks

       10.4.1 Distractor tasks (increase effect)

       10.4.2 Targeted tasks (increase effect)

       10.4.3 Demonic interventions! (increase effect)

       10.4.4 Restricted tasks (reduce noise)

       11 So what? —making sense of results

       11.1 Look at the data

       11.1.1 Fitts’ Law—jumping to the numbers

       11.1.2 But I did a regression

       11.2 Visualise carefully

       11.2.1 Choice of baseline

       11.2.2 Choice of basepoint

       11.3 What have you really shown?

       11.3.1 Think about the conditions

       11.3.2 Individual or the population

       11.3.3 System vs. properties

       11.3.4 What went wrong?

       11.4 Diversity: individual and task

       11.4.1 Don’t just look at the average

       11.4.2 Tasks too

       11.5 Mechanism

       11.5.1 Quantitative and statistical meet qualitative and theoretical

       11.5.2 Generalisation

       11.5.3 Example: mobile font size

       11.6 Building for the future

       11.6.1 Repeatability and replication

       11.6.2 Meta-analysis and open scholarship

       12 Moving forward: the future of statistics in HCI

       12.1 Positive changes

       12.2 Worrying trends

       12.3 Big data and machine learning

       12.4 Last words

       Bibliography

       Author’s Biography

       Index

       Preface

      Sometimes, it seems we are bombarded with numbers, from global warming to utility bills. In user research or academic studies, we may also encounter more formal statistics such as significance testing (all those p-values) or Bayesian methods; and graphs and tables, of course, are everywhere.

      For those of us working with people, we know that numbers do not capture the complexities of social activity or the nuances of human feelings, which are often more appropriately explored through rich qualitative studies. Indeed, many researchers shun anything numerical as, at best, simplistic and, at worst, dehumanising.

      However, the truth is that we all use statistics, both in our work and day-to-day lives. This may be obvious if you read an article with explicit statistics, but mostly the statistics we use are informal and implicit. If you eyeball a graph, table of results, or simple summary of survey responses, and it affects your opinions, you are making a statistical inference. If you interview a selection of people or conduct a user trial of new software and notice that most people mention a particular issue or have a particular problem, you are using statistics.

      Below the surface, our brains constantly average and weigh odds and we may be subconsciously aware of statistical patterns in the world well before we explicitly recognise them. Statistics are everywhere and, consciously or unconsciously, we are all statisticians. The core question is how well we understand this.

      This book is intended to fill СКАЧАТЬ