Название: The Thirties: An Intimate History of Britain
Автор: Juliet Gardiner
Издательство: HarperCollins
Жанр: Историческая литература
isbn: 9780007358236
isbn:
By November 1930 Thomas was able to report to Parliament that £24 million had already been spent on stimulating public works schemes. But for James Maxton, chairman of the Independent Labour Party (ILP), such initiatives were certainly ‘not socialism’, and he taunted Thomas with being ‘caught in a spider web of capitalism’, and prophetically warned that a choice would have to be made between the government and the unemployed — and he knew which side he would be on.
In October 1929 a heavyweight committee was appointed under the chairmanship of a barrister, Lord Macmillan, to examine the workings of the banking and financial systems and to make recommendations ‘calculated … to promote the development of commerce and the employment of labour’. Macmillan, who later confessed that he ‘never learned to move with any ease in the realm of finance’, was surrounded by some expert and authoritative minds. There were employers, including the President of the Federation of British Industries, a professor of banking from the London School of Economics, a director of the Bank of England, a merchant banker and a former Permanent Secretary to the Treasury, working alongside a former ‘Red Clydesider’, J.T. Walton Newbold, while the trade union slot was filled by Ernest Bevin of the Transport and General Workers’ Union. The economist John Maynard Keynes, whose hand had been behind the ‘remedy for unemployment’ set out in the Liberal election manifesto We Can Conquer Unemployment (distilled from the famous ‘Yellow Book’, Britain’s Industrial Future), was also invited to join.
The Committee, which was criticised in some quarters as being ‘packed in favour of finance’, took evidence throughout 1930 and into the following year. Keynes presented his — which was in effect a dry run for his two-volume work A Treatise on Money, published later in the year — ‘like a seminar’, seeking to educate the Committee on the fundamental distinction between saving and investment: the world’s wealth had not been accumulated by thrift, but rather by enterprise. Savings by themselves achieved nothing: they needed to be put to work. From this followed — though Keynes took several cliffhanging days to expound what followed: ‘You are a complete dramatist,’ Macmillan said admiringly — his ‘favourite remedy’: home investment by the government to ‘break the vicious circle’ of underinvestment and mop up unemployment by increasing domestic demand rather than relying on the vagaries of the export market. Along with this went the further rationalisation of industry, protection of the home market by tariff barriers (a new departure for Keynes), and bringing down interest rates — cheap money.
Reginald McKenna, who had been a respected Liberal Chancellor of the Exchequer during the First World War, and subsequently Chairman of the Midland Bank, agreed, and gave an easy-to-follow explanation of how this could work in practice: with more money in circulation more boots would be bought, more men would be taken on to make the boots, their wages would be spent on cotton goods, which would create employment in the cotton industry, and so it would go on. Ernest Bevin was equally enthusiastic, envisaging the prospect for coalminers, whose purchasing power was almost half what it should have been; if it was raised ‘it would lead to a greater demand for boots for children, and clothes and furniture and luxuries and things of that kind’.
But when the ill-prepared and irritable Montagu Norman appeared before the Committee, he rejected Keynes’ view that the financial system was ‘jammed’ and the key to unlock it was obsolete: in Norman’s view it was industry that was jammed, and since he saw the Bank of England’s relation to the nation as similar to that of a high street bank’s to its customers — that is, to ensure that they did not live beyond their means — industry needed rationalisation, not credit, to meet its difficulties. He accepted, however, that rationalisation was hardly a short-term fix, and agreed that unemployment would be ‘apt to increase’ (the word ‘temporarily’ was added in the final report to sweeten the pill). In essence the Bank’s view — more ably put by others subsequently — rejected the notion that the return to the Gold Standard in 1925, much to the disquiet of Keynes, and indeed McKenna, had resulted in inflated interest rates, or that there were any other monetary shortcomings. The basic problem was that British industry was uncompetitive, and until its house was put in order (largely by wage cuts, ‘encouraging’ labour mobility by cutting unemployment pay, reducing taxes on profits and — of course — rationalisation) any other remedies would be merely palliative.
By December, after less than six months in office, the verdict of Hugh Dalton, then Under-Secretary at the Foreign Office (‘The under secretaries are all aristocrats,’ Beatrice Webb had sniffed when the government was formed: Dalton’s father had been Canon of St George’s Chapel, Windsor, and an intimate friend of George V), was that ‘the Labour Government as a whole has been pretty disappointing with bright patches. Thomas and Maggie Bondfield [Margaret Bondfield, Minister of Labour] are two of the most obvious failures. Few have anything good to say about either of them. MacDonald has been messing about again with the idea of the Economic General Staff, and having economists to lunch. But nothing concrete comes of it.’ Thomas Jones was not much more optimistic: ‘Labour is worried by the growing figures of unemployment. JHT [Jimmy Thomas] for some weeks now seemed to lose his nerve entirely. All criticism from all sides, which used to be spread over several Departments, is concentrated on him. There have been various devices for saving his face, the latest is a luncheon party which I have got to give for the PM.’
This was one of several such soundings-out about setting up ‘a new machine which Ramsay could hail as his own creation’. The ‘upshot of all this cogitation’ was the appointment in January 1930, when employment had risen to just under 1.5 million, of an Economic Advisory Council (EAC) which would be ‘the eyes and ears of [the Prime Minister] on economic questions’. MacDonald hoped it would be more than a talking shop: ‘If it meets on a Monday, it must be ready for action to be taken on a Tuesday,’ he insisted. The Council included bankers, industrialists, two scientists, the socialist intellectuals G.D.H. Cole and R.H. Tawney — and J.M. Keynes, plus Ernest Bevin and Walter Citrine as trade union voices.
There was considerable overlap between the personnel and the remits of the Macmillan Committee and the EAC, and since it had no executive authority and a rather vague brief, Citrine was concerned that EAC was likely to become a dumping ground for ‘all the odds and ends that government likes to turn over to us’. Its secretary, the Cambridge economist Hubert Henderson, editor of the Nation until it merged with the New Statesman in 1930, was equally underwhelmed, since according to one of his colleagues, ‘He hated woolly thinking and theorising … and scorned Labour’s economic theories.’ In the event it proved impossible to get a consensus between the businessmen and the economists about the central issue of how to deal with unemployment, and Keynes persuaded MacDonald to set up a smaller group comprising solely economists, with him in the chair as an experiment to test ‘the hypothesis, that [economics] can be treated like any other science, and ask for qualified scientists in the subject to have their say’.
By the summer of 1930 the original EAC was meeting less and less, and Bevin and Citrine had become disillusioned. The breakaway group of economists was equally fissiparous, and it proved wearisome to draft a report that was satisfactory to all — when it was published in October, Professor Lionel Robbins from the London School of Economics disassociated himself from the majority view entirely, and wrote a passionate defence of free trade. Nevertheless, no matter how ineffective the EAC was perceived to be, it was the first time a British Prime Minister had received consistent economic СКАЧАТЬ