Economic crisis: Cosmos and people. Николай Игнатьевич Конюхов

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      Of course, the victory of pessimism resulted in increased number of market participants. With the growing number of participants in the determination of behavior, he psychology of crowds starts dominating, increasing the role of suggestion and unconscious components of the collective psyche. Mood hesitations during this period often lead to madness even those people who are most prone to mental disorders.

      But if the voice of reason could be deafened, then the feast during the plague could continue. And what could deafen the reasonable view of the state of the market? When there is a lot of serotonin and adrenaline in blood, the reasonable view is unlikely. When hormones are missing, the blues will come itself. When hormones are normal, just thinking often helps, although sometimes psychotherapist is useful.

      We have to remind that in 1921 Saturn and Jupiter were in conjunction. It was the intense activity that American literature called the "Roaring Twenties." Emotionally eclipsed mind started to dominate, although there were almost no sunspots (Wolf number in 1921 was 26, in 1922 – 14, 1923 – 6). Young and old played on stock exchanges. Of the 120 million Americans 30 million played on the stock exchanges and a half million had accounts in brokerage companies. As it often happens while playing or gambling, the most part of what you have is to be lost, and therefore money was borrowed. Newspapers wrote about winning in the system of interpersonal relations and they were talking about them more often as well. The hormones were demanded. But those who were forced to drown fear turned to be psychopaths – it was the included psychological mechanism of repression. So, human psyche was often in such situations. People just did not see and did not want to see the reality. They were waiting for money, big money.

      It was during those years when the excessive optimism that led to that desire to get rich most evolved in the confidence that it could be easily done with the help of speculation. Under this need the update of the current financial and organizational structure was required. But then the solar activity started growing. In 1927 Wolf number equaled 69, in 1928 – 78, and in December 1929 it reached 108. Physiology of people had become different, and the habit of playing at the market remained.

      Crash unfolded in strict accordance with the increase in solar activity and behavior patterns of hysteroid accentuations.

      In June 1929 solar activity began to decline: Wolf number in June was 72, in July – 70, in August – 66, in September – 34, so the solar activity fell twice. Market participants cheered. Optimism began to grow. But the subsequent increase in solar activity again brought confusion in the head: October – 54, November – 81, December – 108. Besides, the planets were in such position that rocked people's minds both in the direction of positive and negative emotions. Historical optimism and cosmic events in 1921 began to pass. Jupiter and Saturn began to approach their opposition and in unison that great movement of exchange began to change the focus of its trends. But any analyst must take into consideration the influence of gravitational forces, and the influence of the electromagnetic activity of the Sun. These values are not linked by a linear dependence. But they resonate with each other cyclically over 144 years. These are cyclical resonances. These factors were unfavorable in 1929 for market growth. They made other people qualitatively different.

      Could the trend in the stock market change, if the FRS began to pump money into the economy in September 1929? Could that pumping alter the greatest hormonal change, which occurs with the powerful gravitational resonances in space? Perhaps it was possible, but only for a short time, when psychotherapy would cancel cyclic order given by Cosmos. Anyway, in the twentieth century (and other period for analysis no one), only the Second World War interrupted the economic cycles, but not so hard and not for a long period.

      1.4. Crisis 2009

      Famous economist Andrei Illarionov called the date of May 19, 2008 the beginning of the Russian crisis "What is crisis? ". Article in "The New Times", № 40[86] as of October 6, 2008. Actually that was the date when the Russian stock indexes stopped growing and began their downfall. The date is not random. That day the Earth was aligned not just between Jupiter and Saturn, but also between the Sun and the Moon. It was a kind of "gravitational stretching", which led to a serious reduction of its own gravity. This is an important day for the development of the world's stock markets.

      What you should we note at first? When the Earth is between Jupiter and Saturn, the stock markets often fall. But it happened so that from March to June 2008 and from March to August 2009 the Earth was almost continuously between these planets. In addition it happened in March, September and December 2010 and also in March and November 2011. In August and December 2008, in January 2010 the planets of the solar system set for "bowl."

      But the FRS was not napping; it turned to be the greatest specialist in the history being a psychiatrist and a hypnotist. Psychiatrist and hypnotizers convince with voice, simple arguments, hand movements, eyes … These are known techniques. FRS arguments urged different facts, such as scientific knowledge of the history of financial crises of previous years, monographs and columns of numbers. Instead of hand movements they used movements of funds in such a scale that had not been known in history yet. How could people stand from believing? Especially because they all wanted to believe that everything would be alright. “I’m happy to delude myself”. Even the FRS’s meeting on the 16^th of March, the first time in 30 years on Sunday, had a psychotherapeutic effect. From March 16 to April 30 the FRS lowered rates provided by banks for funding several times. Just to reassure the markets and the people.

      But this did not solve the problem, it just transferred solutions for the future, it was done to prevent the panic, but did not change the people themselves. People were changed with the crisis, and not by hypnotists, and that change led to the structural imbalances accumulated during the gradual growth of irrationality. If people did not change, and every time it is excellently done by crisis, crisis problems would be smeared in time. Psychotherapeutic means that you can remove some of the psychological problems of the patient, but just for a while. The prick for seriously ill person can save their life, but the recovery will take time. Though it all lasted until the output lines of the Earth Jupiter – Saturn, people did not change. So, being not completely recovered, the economy will "sneeze" more and more.

      Gravitational effects during crises in 1929 and 2009 are similar, but the state of the Earth's magnetosphere is not stable at all. If in 1929 it aggravated the mental state of the punters, then in 2009 it was favorable to the market participants (average Wolf number in 2009 was 3). This is one of many factors that contributed to special features of the crisis in the future. Pessimism was less than 1929. But the emotional state was not easy. This has affected the dynamics of the stock markets, but still has not repealed the action of the cosmic forces that demonstrates the behavior of the index S&P500.

      The top of index S&P500 turned out in September 2007

      Perhaps it was not by chance. All the planets are evenly located around the Sun. Then the world began to group together and the index dropped. March 2, 2008 was the significant date, when U.S. indexes fell down to 12-year low. Shares of 30 companies were included in the index of Dow Jones, and 23 were closed on a negative territory. The largest decline of shares belonged to the "Citigroup". Their shares dropped by 39%. The shares of "Bank of America" dropped by 25.75%. Pessimism has covered the U.S. stock markets. It happened when the Earth got to the line of Jupiter and Saturn, and cosmogram took the form of "bowl."

      Events on the horizon in 2008 repeated the things that happened in 1929: Jupiter and Saturn were included in opposition. Major changes in the stock market were closely related to the moments when the Earth crossed the line of Jupiter and Saturn. Yet in 2009 there wasn’t the same panic as in 1929, there was no rush for those few days, when it started. Of course, people changed qualitatively and strengthened financial controls, and there was a belief that these controls would not СКАЧАТЬ