The Value of Debt in Building Wealth. Thomas J. Anderson
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СКАЧАТЬ Will being debt free give me freedom? Or is there another way?

      Break the Paycheck-to-Paycheck Cycle

      Money flows into every household like water through a hose. When all is well, it flows freely and abundantly. But a kink in the hose (loss of a job, a serious medical condition, even a natural disaster) could stop the flow. If you haven't been storing water in cisterns, you and your family will be parched and in peril.

      Too many Americans are in exactly that position. According to one survey, 76 percent of Americans live paycheck to paycheck, fewer than one in four has enough money saved to cover at least six months of expenses, and 27 percent have no savings at all.7 A separate survey found that 46 percent of Americans have less than $800 in savings.8 The estimated collective savings gap for working households 25–64 is estimated to be between $6.8 trillion and $14 trillion. Two-thirds of working households age 55 to 64 have not saved more than one year's worth of salary.9 The well is not deep enough to sustain them through a crisis.

      Is it possible the conventional wisdom that debt is bad has contributed to our savings gap? I believe our anti-debt mentality is contributing to the fact that we are dramatically under saved and ill prepared for crisis. I believe it's time to consider a new glide path and to break this cycle.

      I believe there is a better, balanced, and simple way to accumulate wealth by using both sides of your balance sheet – your assets and your debts.

      Companies Embrace Balance

      Every successful company in the world has a chief financial officer (CFO) who looks holistically at the company's finances to maximize resources and profits. You and your family are not a company, and I understand that there are important differences. But a CFO's raison d'être is to do well financially, and we can learn some important, broad lessons from CFOs as we establish our personal, financial glide path. I believe one of the important tips we can take from CFOs is how they work both sides of the balance sheet to design and implement an overall debt philosophy and establish lines of credit as part of a holistic picture.

      Structuring the right amount of debt in the right way is critical because too much risk could bankrupt the company and too little debt could leave it vulnerable. Once they've found their formulas, most CFOs keep fairly constant debt ratios from year to year.10 Every corporation in the world uses debt as a tool to fund operations and leverage opportunities, and you and your family should, too.

      WHO NEEDS AN AAA RATING?

      Only two companies in the United States issue AAA bonds.11 AAA bonds mean a company has the highest possible credit rating and generally the least amount of debt.

      Pick a large company you admire, and chances are high that its bonds do not have the highest credit rating. Make no mistake, this is a proactive choice by the CFOs and they are well aware that they do not have the highest rating. These companies could easily choose to be AAA, but they don't see the value in having the highest credit rating.

      They've chosen to embrace the liquidity, flexibility, and tax benefits associated with debt. At the same time, they make sure they don't have too much debt so that they take on too much risk.

      Most Fortune 500 companies find a balanced middle ground between being debt free and having too much debt.

      There's an incredible disconnect between how companies and individuals look at debt: Almost all successful companies use debt as a tool to provide liquidity and a cushion for emergencies and opportunities, but very few individuals and families are even willing to think about this strategy. Individuals and families tend to either have too much debt or want to pay off all of their debt as soon as they can. In our new financial glide path, we'll take a CFO-like approach and work both sides of our balance sheet.

      The Power of Savings

We need to frame questions about debt, savings, and balance against the fact that compounding matters to long-term investment returns. Table 1.1 shows that to retire with $1 million, you can choose to save any of the following:

      ● $360 a month at age 20 (with a total of $194,400 saved and invested);

      ● $700 a month at age 30 (with a total of $294,000 saved and invested);

      ● $1,435 at age 40 (with a total of $430,500 saved and invested);

      ● $3,421 at age 50 (with a total of $615,780 saved and invested); or

      ● $14,261 at age 60 (with a total of $855,660 saved and invested).

Table 1.1 Summary of Savings Rate to Accumulate $1 million by 65

      Assuming a 6-percent rate of return, each of these approaches yields $1 million at age 65. But what's particularly interesting is the person who starts at 20 invests $194,400, or about 77 percent less than the person who starts saving at 60 and invests $855,660. This is the difference compounding makes. And I believe we are so anxious to pay down debt that it can come at a cost of deferring our long-term savings and that this cost is significant when we finally direct money to savings. We do not give our money time to grow for us.

      THE DIFFERENCE COMPOUNDING MAKES

      Jennifer and Josh are both savers and investors. Jennifer starts saving and investing at age 20 and saves $2,000 a year until she's 29 – a total of $20,000. Josh starts saving and investing the same amount, $2,000 a year, when he's 30 and does so until he's 65 – a total of $70,000. They both invest in a diversified portfolio of equities and receive an average 8-percent return over the entire period of time that their money is invested. Who will have more money in retirement at age 65?

      At age 65, Jennifer will have about $463,000; Josh will have about $375,000 – $88,000 less. This is because Jennifer reaped the benefits of earlier compounding.

      Starting early makes an enormous difference!12

      A New Glide Path: Debt Adds Value

      Considering that while we would rather not have debt but that it is often a necessary tool, let's reframe the “Debt is Bad” attitude:

      Debt adds value, and when used in a balanced way, has a positive effect on people's lives.

      Let's test this theory. Imagine there are two households, the Nadas and the Steadys. They live in a magical world with no taxes or inflation, interest rates never change, and investment returns are certain. This world is also magical in that banks will let people borrow however much they want for homes. Let's also imagine the following:

      They both start at 35 years old.

      They start with zero assets.

      They both make $120,000 per year and never make a penny more or a penny less.

      If they invest money they earn a rate of return of 6 percent.

      If they borrow money they can borrow at 3 percent.

      Their house appreciates by a rate of 2 percent per year.

      They СКАЧАТЬ



<p>7</p>

Angela Johnson, “76 % of Americans are living paycheck-to-paycheck.” CNN Money (June 24, 2013). http://money.cnn.com/2013/06/24/pf/emergency-savings/.

<p>8</p>

Ibid.

<p>9</p>

Rhee, “The Retirement Crisis.”

<p>10</p>

This is a central theme of Thomas J. Anderson, The Value of Debt (Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, 2013). In particular, Chapter 3 goes into extensive detail on corporate debt ratios. For those who would like detail, see endnote 3 from Chapter 3 of The Value of Debt.

<p>11</p>

Lucinda Shen, “Now There Are Only Two U.S. Companies With the Highest Credit Rating,” Fortune (April 26, 2016), http://fortune.com/2016/04/26/exxonmobil-sp-downgrade-aaa/.