The New Retirement. Jan Cullinane
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Название: The New Retirement

Автор: Jan Cullinane

Издательство: John Wiley & Sons Limited

Жанр: Ценные бумаги, инвестиции

Серия:

isbn: 9781119838166

isbn:

СКАЧАТЬ of Labor Statistics. Declining births, coupled with longer lifespans, reduces the number of workers supporting each retiree. In 1975, there were about 3.2–3.4 workers per retiree. In 2013, there were about 2.8; in 2034, it's estimated that only 2–2.3 workers will be supporting each retiree, according to the Social Security Administration. There is a deeper exploration of Social Security in Chapters 7 and 8.

      Many reading this book are in the Boomer cohort, defined as those born between 1946 and 1964. This group, about 75 million strong, has been described by demographers as a “pig in a python” due to the huge number of births fueled by the end of World War II coupled with a booming economy. And now Boomers are retiring or semiretiring. As mentioned in the book intro, 10,000 people will reach the age of 65 every day until 2030, when all Boomers will be at least 65. But you may be part of the 12 million households who “aspire to retire” by age 55.

      For some, a long and (hopefully) rewarding job/career followed by nonworking years is the retirement goal. For others, retirement is more of a process, perhaps involving several forays into and out of alternative projects, pastimes, and careers/jobs. Many people hope to do a “phased transition” to retirement and combine more leisure time with work, and some insist they will never retire. Some want to retire by age 55. Others want to be part of the FIRE movement – financial independence, retire early – in which the goal is to live on your own terms by the time you're in your 30s or 40s. With FIRE, you can work full-time, work part-time, or not work – it's your choice. Needless to say, unless you hit it rich when you're young or get a big inheritance, FIRE involves very aggressive saving and investing, and perhaps living a radically different kind of lifestyle. So there are lots of choices. But whichever flavor of retirement you think you might want to pursue, this book will help guide you.

      There is a disconnect between what many people think will happen and what does happen regarding retirement timing. I refer to it as expectations versus reality. Each year, the Employee Benefit Research Institute (EBRI) publishes a “Retirement Confidence Survey.” The 2020 version, which surveyed more than 2,000 workers and retirees in January 2020 (prepandemic), offers important insights. For example, looking at recent retirees' experiences:

       They expected to retire at a median age of 65; they actually retired at a median age of 62.

       31% expected to retire at 70; only 6% actually worked until the age of 70.

       Only 11% planned to retire before age 60; 33% retired before age 60.

       18% planned to retire between 60 and 64; 37% actually did retire during that age range.

       48% left the workforce earlier than planned.

      The results have been consistent over the years – many of us think we will work longer than we actually do (the EBRI has been doing this annual survey for 30 years). We may get another job or start another career, but it's important to know the reality versus the expectation. Speaking of which … the EBRI looked at this statistic, too, and found that 74% of retirees planned to work for pay in retirement; but only 24% did work for pay in retirement. As Antoine de Saint-Exupéry said, “A goal without a plan is just a wish.”

      What did the 2021 EBRI survey of more than 3,000 Americans during the pandemic show? The median expected age for retirement was still 65, and the actual age was still 62; 23% of retirees said the pandemic made them “somewhat or significantly less confident they will have enough to live comfortably throughout retirement.”

      Now, think about your “elevator speech” – the blurb you'd give to someone you meet for the first time (called an elevator speech because it takes about the same time as a short elevator ride – 30 to 60 seconds). How would you describe yourself if you had left your job and just met some new neighbors in a new community – would your elevator speech be about your previous career? If so, working may be integral to your self-worth. And that's okay. It may have defined you for many decades. But you will need to find a substitute for it if you do not find/create another job or career. More about that in Chapter 2.

      A friend of mine named Jim said you should ask yourself these three questions to decide if you are ready to retire: Do I have enough? Have I had enough? Do I have enough to do? This is simple, clever, and to a large part it reflects what studies have shown as the major reasons why men and women decide to retire:

       To do other things

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